All-cause mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic in Peru.

There was heterogeneity in the median age of all-cause deaths in Peru during different waves of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. Before predominance of the Omicron variant, the median age of deaths was lower than normal during the peaks of daily all-cause mortality. However, this increased above normal when the Omicron variant was predominant. The daily patterns of cause-specific deaths related directly and indirectly to COVID-19 in Peru were also investigated. Most excess deaths indirectly related to COVID-19 were caused primarily by diseases of the circulatory system, possibly due to disruption of medical services, and the majority of excess deaths directly related to COVID-19 were caused primarily by COVID-19 and diseases of the respiratory system.

Estimating the incubation period of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BA.1 variant in comparison with that during the Delta variant dominance in South Korea.

Based on exposure history and symptom onset of 22 Omicron BA.1 cases in South Korea from November to December 2021, we estimated mean incubation period of 3.5 days (95% CI: 2.5, 3.8), and then compared to that of 6.5 days (95% CI: 5.3, 7.7) for 64 cases during Delta variants' dominance in June 2021. For Omicron BA.1 variants, we found that 95% of symptomatic cases developed clinical conditions within 6.0 days (95% CI: 4.3, 6.6) after exposure. Thus, a shorter quarantine period may be considered based on symptoms, or similarly laboratory testing, when Omicron BA.1 variants are circulating.

Space-Time Variation and Spatial Differentiation of COVID-19 Confirmed Cases in Hubei Province Based on Extended GWR

Clarifying the regional transmission mechanism of COVID-19 has practical significance for effective protection. Taking 103 county-level regions of Hubei Province as an example, and taking the fastest-spreading stage of COVID-19, which lasted from 29 January 2020, to 29 February 2020, as the research period, we systematically analyzed the population migration, spatio-temporal variation pattern of COVID-19, with emphasis on the spatio-temporal differences and scale effects of related factors by using the daily sliding, time-ordered data analysis method, combined with extended geographically weighted regression (GWR). The results state that: Population migration plays a two-way role in COVID-19 variation. The emigrants’ and immigrants’ population of Wuhan city accounted for 3.70% and 73.05% of the total migrants’ population respectively;the restriction measures were not only effective in controlling the emigrants, but also effective in preventing immigrants. COVID-19 has significant spatial autocorrelation, and spatio-temporal differentiation has an effect on COVID-19. Different factors have different degrees of effect on COVID-19, and similar factors show different scale effects. Generally, the pattern of spatial differentiation is a transitional pattern of parallel bands from east to west, and also an epitaxial radiation pattern centered in the Wuhan 1 + 8 urban circle. This paper is helpful to understand the spatio-temporal evolution of COVID-19 in Hubei Province, so as to provide a reference for similar epidemic prevention.